Abstract: Mid- and long-term energy demand and greenhouse gas (GHG) emission scenarios in China were analyzed using the IPAC model. The main parameters and results for the scenarios are introduced, and policy options assessed in the model are also presented in this paper. At the same time, the emission mitigation technologies are reported. With the rapid development of economy in the future, energy demand and CO2 emission in China will also increase quickly. Compared with 2005, energy demand may increase by 1.4 times in 2030 and by 1.9 times in 2050. However, we do see ample opportunities for China to make the emission stable after 2020 without large increase, and even begin to decrease after 2030.

Key words: emission scenarios, energy, climate change, model