Abstract: In this paper, we review basic methods for projecting possible future changes in extreme events, with an emphasis on the analysis of output from high resolution climate models. Current and past research on extreme events in East Asia and China are discussed and the projections for China are summarized, including existing problems in these projections. It is pointed out that further studies in the following areas are needed in order to better project future extreme events over China: higher spatial and temporal resolution gridded observational data, extended high resolution regional climate model simulations, multi-model ensembles, and the application of statistical downscaling. In addition, the effects of land use and atmospheric aerosols must be considered in model simulations.

Key words: climate change, climate model, extreme events, projection, China region