关键词: 欧盟, 气候变化, 能源政策, 2030年

Abstract: The EU 2030 Policy Framework for Climate and Energy (hereinafter to be referred as the framework) proposes that EU will reduce 40% of GHG emissions in 2030 at the level of 1990 and will raise the portion of renewable energy in primary energy consumption up to 27%. Although it has not been ratified yet, the framework has been focused due to its possibility to become a basis for domestic legislations for its participation in the 2015 international climate change negotiation. By identifying and analysing key elements, the framework shows that its 2030 goal, in terms of targets of emissions reduction and renewable energy, is more positive than that in 2020. In terms of achievement, the target of renewable energy is more difficult than that of emissions reduction. Because of inclusion of Eastern European countries, on the one hand, EU receives the surplus of emissions allowance, which helps EU achieve the target of emissions reduction, on the other hand, a growing disparity among member states of EU constrains from positive environmental policies of EU and reduces the possibility of a great extent to which EU adjusts the target of emissions reduction. The emissions reduction target in the framework is likely to influence the projection of demand of post-2020 international carbon market. The future international carbon market requires not only an ambitious target set by developed countries outside EU, but also a higher target of emissions reduction for EU. Some ideas of the framework such as taking climate change as the driving force of economic development rather than resistance, various approaches to fulfil different type of goals, the transparency of setting goals, and a full consideration of disparities among member states, etc., are worth learning for China.

Key words: Calibri", ,", sans-serif", font-size: 10.5pt, mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt, mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin, mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体, mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast, mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin, mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman', mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi, mso-ansi-language: EN-US, mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN, mso-bidi-language: AR-SA" lang="EN-US">EU, climate change, energy policy, 2030