[1] | IPCC. Special report on global warming of 1.5℃[M]. UK: Cambridge University Press, 2018 | [2] | IPCC. Climate change and land: an IPCC special report on climate change, desertification, land degradation, sustainable land management, food security, and greenhouse gas fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems [M/OL]. 2019 [ 2019-11-02]. https://www.ipcc.ch/srccl/ | [3] | 朱松丽, 蔡博峰, 朱建华 , 等. IPCC国家温室气体清单指南精细化的主要内容和启示[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 2018,14(1):86-94. DOI: 10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2017.146. | [3] | Zhu S L, Cai B F, Zhu J F , et al. The main content and insights of 2019 refinements to IPCC 2006 Guidelines[J]. Climate Change Research, 2018,14(1):86-94. DOI: 10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2017.146 (in Chinese) | [4] | IPCC. Summary for policymakers [M/OL]//IPCC. IPCC special report on the ocean and cryosphere in a changing climate. 2019 [ 2019-11-03]. https://www.ipcc.ch/srocc/chapter/summary-for-policymakers/ | [5] | IPCC. Sixth assessment report (AR6) products: outline of the special report on climate change and oceans and the cryosphere [R/OL]. 2017 [ 2019-10-19]. https://archive.ipcc.ch/meetings/session45/Decision_Outline_SR_Oceans.pdf | [6] | IPBES. Summary for policymakers of the global assessment report on biodiversity and ecosystem services of the Intergovernmental Science-policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services [R/OL]. 2019 [ 2019-10-19]. | [7] | Mudryk L, Kushner P, Derksen C , et al. Snow cover response to temperature in observational and climate model ensembles[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2017,44(2):919-926 | [8] | Biskaborn B K, Smith S L, Noetzli J , et al. Permafrost is warming at a global scale[J]. Nature Communications, 2019,10:264 | [9] | Onarheim I H, Eldevik T, Smedsrud L H , et al. Seasonal and regional manifestation of Arctic sea ice loss[J]. Journal of Climate, 2018,31(12):4917-4932 | [10] | Hock R, Bliss A, Marzeion B , et al. GlacierMIP: a model intercomparison of global-scale glacier mass-balance models and projections[J]. Journal of Glaciology, 2019,65(251):453-467 | [11] | Bulthuis K, Arnst M, Sun S , et al. Uncertainty quantification of the multi-centennial response of the Antarctic ice sheet to climate change[J]. The Cryosphere, 2019,13(4):1349-1380 | [12] | Watson C S, King O . Everest’s thinning glaciers: implications for tourism and mountaineering[J]. Geology Today, 2018,34(1):18-25 | [13] | Cheng L, Trenberth K E, Fasullo J , et al. Improved estimates of ocean heat content from 1960 to 2015[J]. Science Advances, 2017,3(3):e1601545 | [14] | Johnson D, Adelaide Ferreira M, L. Kenchington E. Climate change is likely to severely limit the effectiveness of deep-sea ABMTs in the North Atlantic[J]. Marine Policy, 2018,87:111-122 | [15] | Oliver E C J, Donat M G, Burrows M T , et al. Longer and more frequent marine heatwaves over the past century[J]. Nature Communications, 2018,9(1):1324. DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-03732-9 | [16] | Paerl H W, Otten T G, Kudela R . Mitigating the expansion of harmful algal blooms across the freshwater-to-marine continuum[J]. Environmental Science & Technology, 2018,52(10):5519-5529 | [17] | Frölicher T L, Laufkötter C . Emerging risks from marine heat waves[J]. Nature Communications, 2018,9(1):650. DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-03163-6 | [18] | Jackson L C, Kahana R, Graham T , et al. Global and European climate impacts of a slowdown of the AMOC in a high resolution GCM[J]. Climate Dynamics, 2015,45(11-12):3299-3316 | [19] | WCRP Global Sea Level Budget Group. Global sea-level budget 1993-present[J]. Earth System Science Data, 2018,10(3):1551-1590 | [20] | Lickley M J, Hay C C, Tamisiea M E , et al. Bias in estimates of global mean sea level change inferred from satellite altimetry[J]. Journal of Climate, 2018,31(13):5263-5271 | [21] | Young I R, Ribal A . Multiplatform evaluation of global trends in wind speed and wave height[J]. Science, 2019,364(6440):548-552 | [22] | Sippo J Z, Lovelocj C E, Santos I R , et al. Mangrove mortality in a changing climate: an overview[J]. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 2018,125:241-249 | [23] | Perry C T, Alvarez-Filip L, Graham N A J , et al. Loss of coral reef growth capacity to track future increases in sea level[J]. Nature, 2018,558(7710):396-400 | [24] | Le Cozannet G, Manceau J C, Rohmer J . Bounding probabilistic sea-level projections within the framework of the possibility theory[J]. Environmental Research Letters, 2017,12(1):014012 | [25] | Wahl T, Haigh I D, Nicholls R J , et al. Understanding extreme sea levels for broad-scale coastal impact and adaptation analysis[J]. Nature Communications, 2017,8:16075. DOI: 10.1038/ncomms16075 | [26] | Vousdoukas M I, Mentaschi L, Voukouvalas E , et al. Climatic and socioeconomic controls of future coastal flood risk in Europe[J]. Nature Climate Change, 2018,8(9):776-780 | [27] | Rasul G, Molden D . The global social and economic consequences of mountain cryopsheric change[J]. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 2019,7. DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2019.00091 | [28] | Warrick O, Aalbersberg W, Dumaru P , et al. The ‘Pacific adaptive capacity analysis framework’: guiding the assessment of adaptive capacity in Pacific island communities[J]. Regional Environmental Change, 2017,17(4):1039-1051 | [29] | Holsman K, Samhouri J, Cook G , et al. An ecosystem-based approach to marine risk assessment[J]. Ecosystem Health and Sustainability, 2017,3(1). DOI: 10.1002/ehs2.1256 | [30] | Lawrence J, Bell R, Blackett P , et al. National guidance for adapting to coastal hazards and sea-level rise: anticipating change, when and how to change pathway[J]. Environmental Science & Policy, 2018,82:100-107 | [31] | Czerniewicz L, Goodier S, Morrell R . Southern knowledge online? Climate change research discoverability and communication practices[J]. Information, Communication & Society, 2017,20(3):386-405 | [32] | Qin D H, Ding Y J, Xiao C D , et al. Cryospheric science: research framework and disciplinary system[J]. National Science Review, 2018,5(2):255-268 | [33] | Kopp R E, Shwom R L, Wagner G , et al. Tipping elements and climate-economic shocks: pathways toward integrated assessment[J]. Earth’s Future, 2016,4(8):346-372 | [34] | Schuur E A G, McGuire A D, Schaedel C , et al. Climate change and the permafrost carbon feedback[J]. Nature, 2015,520(7546):171-179 | [35] | Steffen W, Rockstrom J, Richardson K , et al. Trajectories of the earth system in the anthropocene[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2018,115(33):8252-8259 | [36] | Mackey B, Ware D. Limits to capital works adaptation in the coastal zones and islands: lessons for the pacific. In: limits to climate change adaptation [M]. Springer International Publishing, 2018: 301-323 | [37] | Zou D F, Zhao L, Sheng Y , et al. A new map of permafrost distribution on the Tibetan Plateau[J]. The Cryosphere, 2017,11:2527-2542 | [38] | Guo W Q, Liu S Y, Li X , et al. The second Chinese glacier inventory: data, methods and resultss[J]. Journal of Glaciology, 2015,61(226):357-372 | [39] | 中国气象局气候变化中心. 中 国气候变化蓝皮书(2019)[R]. 北京, 2019. | [39] | Climate Change Center of China Meteorological Administration. China Blue Book on climate change (2019) [R]. Beijing, 2019 ( in Chinese) | [40] | 姚檀栋, 邬光剑, 徐柏青 , 等. “亚洲水塔”变化与影响[J]. 中国科学院院刊, 2019,34(11):1203-1209. | [40] | Yao T D, Wu G J, Xu B Q , et al. Asian water tower change and its impacts[J]. Bulletin of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2019,34(11):1203-1209 (in Chinese) | [41] | Immerzeel W W, Lutz A F, Baillie J E M , et al. Importance and vulnerability of the world’s water towers[J]. Nature, 2019. DOI: org/10.1038/s41586-019-1822-y |
|