Climate change and urban total factor productivity:theory and empirical analysis

doi:10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2017.081

Abstract

Abstract:

This paper discusses the impact of climate change on urban total factor productivity (TFP) by using Chinese city data in 1994-2014. The results are as follows. Climate change (changes in temperature and precipitation) has negative impact on urban TFP. The influence of precipitation is more significant, but the impact of TFP on the eastern China cities is not obvious. The higher level of the economic development of the city, the smaller impact on its TFP by weather and climate change, and vice versa. The more reasonable urban industrial structure, the lower impact of weather and climate, the more unbalanced, the greater impact. Among them, the precipitation change has influence on the three major industries, and has the most significant impact on the first industry.

Key words: Climate change, City, Total factor productivity (TFP)

Hao ZHANG, Jing TAN, Jian-Hua ZHANG. Climate change and urban total factor productivity:theory and empirical analysis[J]. Climate Change Research, 2018, 14(2): 165-174.

Figures/Tables 6

Table 1 Stationarity test of panel data

Table 2 Cointegration test results of panel data

Table 3 Benchmark regression

Table 4 Analysis of the impact of different regions, different levels of economic development and different climatic regions

Table 5 Analysis of the impact of weather and climate change in different industries on urban TFP

Table 6 Robustness test estimation results

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