气候变化研究进展

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碳中和目标下中国CCUS发展进程与国际经验启示

吕晋宁1,张枢1,陈文颖2   

  1. 清华大学能源环境经济研究所,北京 100084
  • 收稿日期:2025-05-29 修回日期:2025-07-03 出版日期:2025-11-11 发布日期:2025-11-11
  • 通讯作者: 陈文颖
  • 基金资助:
    新型油气勘探开发国家科技重大专项: CO2 驱大幅度提高采收率与长期封存技术

The development process of CCUS in China towards carbon neutrality: insights from international experience

LYU Jin-Ning, ZHANG Shu, CHEN Wen-Ying   

  1. Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
  • Received:2025-05-29 Revised:2025-07-03 Online:2025-11-11 Published:2025-11-11

摘要: 碳捕集、利用与封存(CCUS)是实现碳中和目标的“兜底技术”。文中分析了中国CCUS发展现状,指出虽在政策支持、示范项目数量与规模方面取得进展,但仍面临技术成本高、商业模式不成熟、产业链布局不完善、政策配套与市场机制不健全等挑战。国际分析显示,全球及各国/地区CCUS部署规模与气候目标所需规模存在巨大鸿沟。发达国家凭借顶层战略、法规标准、财税激励和市场机制等模式,项目商业化发展更为成熟。国际典型项目经验凸显政策驱动、市场创新、产业链管理、技术集成与国际合作的重要性。鉴于此,为推动中国CCUS规模化发展,提出以下建议:推进技术研发,实现降本增效,整合产业链条,健全政策法规,完善市场机制,同时深化国际合作,构建人才队伍。

关键词: 碳捕集、利用与封存(CCUS), 碳中和, 国际经验, 政策评估

Abstract: Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS) represents a critical technological pathway for achieving carbon neutrality targets. It is paramount for the low-carbon transition of the hard-to-abate sectors. Based on the analysis of the current status of CCUS development in China, this paper notes that while progress has been achieved in terms of policy support and the number and scale of demonstration projects, significant challenges persist, including high technological costs, immature business models, incomplete industrial chain planning, and underdeveloped policy and market mechanisms. International analysis indicates a substantial gap between current global and national/regional CCUS deployment scales and the levels required to meet climate objectives. Developed countries have achieved more mature commercial project development through top-level strategies, regulatory standards, fiscal and tax incentives, and market mechanisms. Experiences from leading international projects underscore the importance of policy support, market innovation, industrial chain coordination, technological integration, and international cooperation. Consequently, to promote the scaled-up development of CCUS in China, this paper proposes the following recommendations: advancing R&D for cost reduction and efficiency gains, integrating industrial chains, improving policies, regulations, and market mechanisms, while deepening international cooperation and cultivating a skilled talent pool.

Key words: Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS), Carbon neutrality, International experience, Policy evaluation

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