气候变化研究进展 ›› 2009, Vol. 05 ›› Issue (01): 50-55.

• 综述 • 上一篇    下一篇

气候变化对林火动态的影响研究进展

赵凤君 王明玉 舒立福 王春乙   

  1. 中国林业科学研究院森林生态环境与保护研究所
  • 收稿日期:2008-04-27 修回日期:2008-05-08 出版日期:2009-01-22 发布日期:2009-01-22
  • 通讯作者: 赵凤君

Progress in Studies on Influences of Climate Change on Forest Fire Regime

  

  • Received:2008-04-27 Revised:2008-05-08 Online:2009-01-22 Published:2009-01-22

摘要: 气候变化对林火动态的影响一直是国内外研究的热点,从数据获取方式、研究内容、研究方法和研究结论等角度出发对此领域的进展进行了综述。当前以气候变暖为主要特征的气候变化已对林火动态产生重要影响,全球大部分地区林火发生频率增大、林火强度增强;在预期继续变暖的气候背景下,未来林火情势会更加严峻;但由于气候变化的区域性差异,有些地区的林火动态变化不明显或呈现下降趋势。对预期气候情景下研究结论的不确定性进行了分析,并讨论了我国与国外在此领域的研究差距及其原因。最后,对未来的研究方向进行了展望。

关键词: 气候变化, 林火动态, 林火天气, 可燃物

Abstract: In the last few years, the influence of climate change on forest fire regime has become a hot topic of research in China and overseas. The progress in this field has been reviewed from the aspects of data source, study methods, major research contents and conclusions. The current global warming has already had an important influence on forest fire regime. The forest fire frequency and intensity has increased in most areas of the world. Under expected warmer climate conditions in the future, the fire situation will be more serious with more and stronger fires in most areas of the world. However, the fire regime changes in some areas are still not clear due to the difference in regional climate change. The uncertainty of the conclusions under projected climate scenarios is introduced in this paper. The research gap in this field between China and foreign countries and its possible reasons are also discussed. Finally, future research directions are suggested.

Key words: climate change, forest fire regime, fire weather, fuel

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