2008年以来青藏高原春季大气温度逆转趋势及其与臭氧总量变化之间的可能联系

doi:10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2019.061

气候变化研究进展 ›› 2019, Vol. 15 ›› Issue (4): 385-394.doi: 10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2019.061

2008年以来青藏高原春季大气温度逆转趋势及其与臭氧总量变化之间的可能联系

王晴^1,²,黄富祥^2,³(),夏学齐¹

1 中国地质大学（北京）地球科学与资源学院,北京 100083
2 中国气象局国家卫星气象中心,北京 100081
3 中国气象局中国遥感卫星辐射测量和定标重点开放实验室,北京 100081

收稿日期:2019-03-21 修回日期:2019-04-15 出版日期:2019-07-30 发布日期:2019-07-30
通讯作者: 黄富祥 E-mail:huangfx@cma.gov.cn
作者简介:王晴,女,硕士研究生
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金(41675031);国家自然科学基金(41275035);国家重点研发计划(2016YFB0502501)

Reversal trends of atmospheric temperature in spring over the Tibetan Plateau after 2008 and possible links with total ozone trends

Qing WANG^1,²,Fu-Xiang HUANG^2,³(),Xue-Qi XIA¹

1 School of Earth Sciences and Resources, China University of Geosciences (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China
2 National Satellite Meteorological Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China
3 Key Laboratory of Radiometric Calibration and Validation for Environmental Satellites, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China;

Received:2019-03-21 Revised:2019-04-15 Online:2019-07-30 Published:2019-07-30
Contact: Fu-Xiang HUANG E-mail:huangfx@cma.gov.cn

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

利用ERA-Interim和MERRA-2再分析资料,考察1980—2017年青藏高原大气温度变化趋势和规律,年、季、月不同时间尺度分析结果均揭示2008年以来青藏高原春季大气温度变化呈现逆转趋势：高原上空平流层下部150~50 hPa呈现明显的增温趋势（1.0~2.7℃/10a),对流层上部300~175 hPa呈现明显的降温趋势（-3.1~-1.0℃/10a),这与此前的大气温度变化趋势完全相反。利用TOMS和OMI卫星臭氧遥感资料,考察同期青藏高原臭氧总量变化特征,表明2008年以来青藏高原臭氧总量也表现出逆转的增加趋势,与大气温度逆转趋势吻合,从冬末至春季各月均有显著增加趋势,尤以5月臭氧总量增加速率最大,达13.7 DU/10a。青藏高原春季大气温度变化趋势与同期臭氧总量变化特征紧密相关,2008年后臭氧总量的快速恢复可能是引起大气温度逆转趋势的一个重要影响因素。

关键词: 再分析资料, 卫星遥感, 大气温度, 臭氧总量, 变化趋势

Abstract:

Trends of atmospheric temperature during 1980-2007 over the Tibetan Plateau were evaluated using the ERA-Interim and MERRA-2 reanalysis data sets. Analyses of different time scales from annual to seasonal and monthly show that remarkable reversal trends of atmospheric temperature after 2008: temperatures at the lower stratosphere (150-50 hPa) are increasing with rates of 1.0-2.7℃/10a, while in the upper troposphere (300-175 hPa), temperatures are decreasing with rates of -3.1- -1.0℃/10a. Trends of atmospheric temperature in spring after 2008 over the Tibetan Plateau are reversal with those of 1980-2007. Analysis of total ozone trends over the Tibetan Plateau during 1980-2017 were carried out and results show significant increasing trends of monthly total ozone from end of winter to spring, especially in May with the highest increasing rate of 13.7 DU/10a. Analysis results show that variations of atmospheric temperature are closely linked with variation of total ozone, and the reversal trends of atmospheric temperature in spring maybe the results of total ozone recovery after 2008 over the Tibetan Plateau.

Key words: Reanalysis data, Satellite data, Air temperature, Total ozone, Changing trend

王晴,黄富祥,夏学齐. 2008年以来青藏高原春季大气温度逆转趋势及其与臭氧总量变化之间的可能联系[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 2019, 15(4): 385-394.

Qing WANG,Fu-Xiang HUANG,Xue-Qi XIA. Reversal trends of atmospheric temperature in spring over the Tibetan Plateau after 2008 and possible links with total ozone trends[J]. Climate Change Research, 2019, 15(4): 385-394.

图/表 10

图1 青藏高原地区TOMS和OMI臭氧总量数据差异对比

Fig. 1 Comparison of total ozone between TOMS and OMI over the Tibetan Plateau

图2 青藏高原年平均大气温度变化趋势

Fig. 2 Trends of annual mean atmospheric temperature over the Tibetan Plateau

图3 青藏高原四季大气温度变化趋势注：图中阴影表示通过0.05的显著性检验;变化趋势单位为℃/10a。

Fig. 3 Trends of seasonal atmospheric temperature over the Tibetan Plateau

图4 青藏高原大气温度逐月变化趋势（单位：℃/10a）

Fig. 4 Trends of monthly atmospheric temperature over the Tibetan Plateau (unit: ℃/10a)

图5 青藏高原5月250~200 hPa高度处平均大气温度变化注：两个时间段的变化趋势均通过0.1的显著性检验。

Fig. 5 Changing trends of average atmospheric temperature in May in 250-200 hPa

图6 青藏高原臭氧总量年变化趋势

Fig. 6 Trends of annual total ozone over the Tibetan Plateau

图7 青藏高原臭氧总量四季变化趋势

Fig. 7 Trends of seasonal total ozone over the Tibetan Plateau

图8 青藏高原臭氧总量月变化趋势

Fig. 8 Trends of monthly total ozone over the Tibetan Plateau

图9 青藏高原臭氧总量与大气温度相关系数分布注：浅色和深色阴影分别代表通过0.1和0.01的显著性检验。

Fig. 9 Correlation coefficient between total ozone and atmospheric temperature over the Tibetan Plateau

图10 1980—2017年5月青藏高原臭氧总量与大气温度相关系数空间分布注：区域均通过0.01的显著性检验。

Fig. 10 Spatial distribution of correlation coefficient between total ozone and atmospheric temperature in May over the Tibetan Plateau from 1980 to 2017

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2008年以来青藏高原春季大气温度逆转趋势及其与臭氧总量变化之间的可能联系

Reversal trends of atmospheric temperature in spring over the Tibetan Plateau after 2008 and possible links with total ozone trends

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