美丽中国建设重点区域气候行动力评估方法体系及实证研究

doi:10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2024.152

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

《2030年前碳达峰行动方案》明确提出，“京津冀、长三角、粤港澳大湾区等区域要发挥高质量发展动力源和增长极作用，率先推动经济社会发展全面绿色转型”。为评估三大重点区域的气候行动力以及绿色低碳发展进展，助力各地区找到适合自身的可持续和高质量发展路径，文中基于层次分析法搭建了区域气候行动力评价体系，并设置区域气候行动力指数。综合评价结果显示，长三角区域气候行动力指数最高，其次是京津冀和粤港澳区域。三大区域均存在相较于其他区域的优势与挑战，例如，京津冀在“双碳”目标和政策、能力建设和保障方面表现最突出，粤港澳在低碳发展水平方面最具优势，长三角则在区域协同、低碳资源基础及产业基础方面走在其他区域前面。形成了强化绿色低碳产业发展、完善气候立法与政策、推动绿色金融发展等政策建议。

关键词: 绿色低碳发展, 重点区域, 气候行动力, 评价体系

Abstract:

Action Plan for Carbon Dioxide Peaking Before 2030 proposes that “The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, the Yangtze River Delta, and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area etc. will play their roles as drivers and growth poles for China’s high-quality development and lead the way in promoting an overall green transformation of economic and social development”. To evaluate the climate action capability and progress of green and low-carbon development in the three key regions, and to help each region find a sustainable and high-quality development path that suits itself, a regional climate action capability evaluation system was established based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process, and a regional climate action capability index was set up. The comprehensive evaluation results show that the climate action index in the Yangtze River Delta region is the highest, followed by the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao area. The three major regions all have advantages and challenges compared to other regions. For example, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has the most outstanding performance in terms of dual carbon goals and policies, capacity building and security, the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao area has the most advantages in low-carbon development level, while the Yangtze River Delta is ahead of other regions in terms of regional synergy, low-carbon resource and industrial foundation. Policy recommendations have been formed such as strengthening the development of green and low-carbon industries, improving climate legislation and policies, and promoting the development of green finance, etc.

Key words: Green and low-carbon development, Key regions, Climate action capability, Evaluation system

柴麒敏, 黄子晗, 解瑞丽, 田爽, 刘伯翰. 美丽中国建设重点区域气候行动力评估方法体系及实证研究[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 2025, 21(2): 288-300.

CHAI Qi-Min, HUANG Zi-Han, XIE Rui-Li, TIAN Shuang, LIU Bo-Han. Methodological system and empirical research on climate action capability assessment in key regions for development of a “Beautiful China”[J]. Climate Change Research, 2025, 21(2): 288-300.

图/表 3

表1 区域气候行动力评价指标体系

Table 1 Evaluation index system for regional climate action capability

表2 区域气候行动力准则层得分

Table 2 Criteria layer score of the regional climate action capacity

表3 区域气候行动力一级指标层得分

Table 3 First level indicator layer score of the regional climate action capacity

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