Abstract: The EKC relationship between GDP and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions shows an inverted U-shape based on the GHG emissions accounting data in Heilongjiang province from 2001 to 2015, and the curve is expected to reach inflection point in 2019. The results of average annual emission reduction of 4 paths by partial least-squares regression model are as follows: the reduction of energy consumption per unit GDP, the adjustment of economic structure, the growth of per capita GDP, the change of trade structure. The dynamic impact effects for corresponding impulse response functions are fluctuating emission increase, convergent emission reduction, divergent emission reduction, and transformational emission effect. The paths order of promoting GHG emission reduction in Heilongjiang province is to control fossil energy consumption, optimize economic structure, develop low-carbon economy and adjust trade structure.
张滨 吕洁华. 温室气体排放的环境库兹涅茨曲线检验与减排路径的冲击动态——基于黑龙江省统计核算数据[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2018.119.
ZHANG Bin, LYU Jie-Hua. EKC inspection and dynamic impact of emissions reduction paths for greenhouse gas emissions——based on statistical data in Heilongjiang province. Climate Change Research, 0, (): 0-0.