气候变化研究进展 ›› 2021, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (1): 1-6.doi: 10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2020.293

• 巴黎协定目标下我国的减排路径和政策专栏 • 上一篇    下一篇

走向《巴黎协定》温升目标:已经在路上

姜克隽(), 冯升波   

  1. 国家发展和改革委员会能源研究所,北京 100038
  • 收稿日期:2020-12-21 修回日期:2021-01-04 出版日期:2021-01-30 发布日期:2021-02-04
  • 作者简介:姜克隽,男,研究员, kjiang@eri.org.cn
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划(2017YFA0605302);国家重点研发计划(2017YFA0603804)

Going to the mitigation targets in Paris Agreement: the world is on the road

JIANG Ke-Jun(), FENG Sheng-Bo   

  1. Energy Research Institute, National Development and Reform Commission, Beijing 100038, China
  • Received:2020-12-21 Revised:2021-01-04 Online:2021-01-30 Published:2021-02-04

摘要:

目前欧盟、中国、日本、韩国、加拿大,以及南非等国家或地区,已经公布了温室气体中和或者碳中和的目标,如果加上很可能很快也会提出碳中和目标的美国,全球有可能近70%的CO2排放的国家或地区提出碳中和的目标。由于这些国家或地区是全球技术主导和经济主导地,因而全球2050年左右实现碳中和具有可行性。2050年左右实现碳中和,即和《巴黎协定》2℃目标,甚至和其1.5℃温升目标下的减排路径相一致。研究表明实现2050年左右碳中和有其可行性,实现该目标需要更多的技术创新,未来将是各个国家技术竞争和经济竞争阶段。

关键词: 《巴黎协定》目标, 国际合作, 碳中和, 减排政策

Abstract:

By now, EU, China, Japan, Korea, Canada, together with South Africa etc., have announced their carbon or GHGs neutrality targets. And it is also very possible that United States will announced its carbon neutrality target. All these countries’ CO2 emission accounts for around 70% of global emission. Because these countries are technology and economy dominating countries, it is possible that the global will reach carbon neutrality by 2050. Carbon neutrality by 2050, is matching with the emission pathways under the Paris Agreement targets, even with its 1.5℃ warming target. Researches show that it is feasible to make carbon neutrality by 2050, and there is strong need for innovative technologies, and there will be technology and economy competition in future to make their pathways towards to the carbon neutrality targets.

Key words: Paris Agreement targets, International collaboration, Carbon neutrality, Mitigation pathways

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