全球平均温度序列的比较

气候变化研究进展 ›› 2011, Vol. 7 ›› Issue (2): 85-89.

全球平均温度序列的比较

唐国利¹,王绍武²,闻新宇³,黄建斌⁴

1. 气象信息中心（资料楼）
2. 北京大学物理学院
3. 北京大学物理学院大气科学系
4. 清华大学地球科学系统中心全球变化研究所

收稿日期:2010-07-16 修回日期:2010-12-01 出版日期:2011-03-30 发布日期:2011-04-07
通讯作者: 唐国利 E-mail:tanggl@cma.gov.cn

Comparison of Global Mean Temperature Series

², ²

Received:2010-07-16 Revised:2010-12-01 Online:2011-03-30 Published:2011-04-07

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 着重评述了目前国际上常用的3个全球平均温度序列：HadCRUT3、NCDC及GISS。后两个序列1982年之后引入了卫星观测资料。NCDC对资料作了插补，建立了1880—2009年覆盖面完整的序列。HadCRUT3序列所显示的近10年变暖的停滞可能主要是缺少极区资料造成的。NCDC与GISS两个序列依然保持约0.1℃/10a的增温。3个序列1910—2009年的变暖趋势十分接近，在0.70～0.75℃/100a之间。

Abstract: Studies on the reconstruction of global mean temperature series are reviewed. Three series, HadCRUT3, NCDC, and GISS, are described in detail. Satellite data have been used since 1982 in the latter two series. NCDC series provides the most complete coverage among the three series by using statistic interpolation technique. It is found that the pause of global warming in 2000-2009, which is revealed in HadCRUT3 series, is caused by the incompleteness of data coverage. Missing of data over the Arctic reduced the positive anomaly of global mean temperature, for where the local warming was very high recently. GISS and NCDC series show much higher warming trends during the last 10 years. Three series give the nearly same warming trend (0.70-0.75℃ /100a) of global mean temperature for 1910-2009.

唐国利王绍武闻新宇黄建斌. 全球平均温度序列的比较[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 2011, 7(2): 85-89.