气候变化研究进展 ›› 2009, Vol. 5 ›› Issue (00): 66-72.

• Impacts and Adaptation • 上一篇    下一篇

Analysis of Impact Factors on China’s CO2 Emission Trends During 1971-2005

Feng Xiangzhao1, Wang Xuechen2

  

  1. 1 Policy Research Centre for Environment and Economy, Ministry of Environmental Protection, Beijing 100029, China; 2 China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2009-10-30 发布日期:2009-10-30

Analysis of Impact Factors on China’s CO2 Emission Trends During 1971-2005

Feng Xiangzhao1, Wang Xuechen2

  

  1. 1 Policy Research Centre for Environment and Economy, Ministry of Environmental Protection, Beijing 100029, China; 2 China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China
  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2009-10-30 Published:2009-10-30

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摘要： China’s CO2 emissions change during 1971-2005 was analyzed by using Kaya Identity in combination with macroeconomic background evolution. The study indicates that the increase of CO2 emission is mainly due to rapid economic development and population growth. And that to a large extent, the decrease in energy intensity and the decarburization of energy structure in China jointly limit the augmentation of overall CO2 emission at a higher rate. So the improvement in energy efficiency and the diversification of energy structure by using more renewable energy are considered to play an important role in realizing the binding target of 20% reduction in GDP energy consumption during the 11th Five-Year Plan.

关键词: Kaya Identity, CO2 emission, economic growth, energy intensity

Abstract: China’s CO2 emissions change during 1971-2005 was analyzed by using Kaya Identity in combination with macroeconomic background evolution. The study indicates that the increase of CO2 emission is mainly due to rapid economic development and population growth. And that to a large extent, the decrease in energy intensity and the decarburization of energy structure in China jointly limit the augmentation of overall CO2 emission at a higher rate. So the improvement in energy efficiency and the diversification of energy structure by using more renewable energy are considered to play an important role in realizing the binding target of 20% reduction in GDP energy consumption during the 11th Five-Year Plan.

Key words: Kaya Identity, CO2 emission, economic growth, energy intensity, primary energy structure

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