气候变化研究进展 ›› 2014, Vol. 10 ›› Issue (1): 67-73.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-1719.2014.01.015

• 气候变化影响 • 上一篇    下一篇

南京地区人体舒适度及其与居民循环系统疾病死亡关系的研究

张志薇1,孙 宏2,蒋 薇3,王式功1,尚可政1,王宏斌4,马 盼1,王金艳1   

  1. 1 兰州大学大气科学学院/兰州大学气象环境与人体健康研究中心,兰州 730000; 
    2 江苏省疾病预防控制中心环境所,南京 210009; 
    3 江苏省气候中心,南京 210008;
    4 江苏省气象科学研究所,南京 210008;
  • 收稿日期:2013-06-09 修回日期:2013-10-20 出版日期:2014-01-31 发布日期:2014-01-31
  • 通讯作者: 张志薇 E-mail:zhangzhiw09@lzu.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:

    国家公益性行业专项项目;海南省气象局科技创新项目;兰州大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金

The Relationship Between Human Comfort and Mortality from Circulatory System Disease in Nanjing, China

Zhang Zhiwei1, Sun Hong2, Jiang Wei3, Wang Shigong1, Shang Kezheng1, Wang Hongbin4, Ma Pan1, Wang Jinyan1   

  1. 1 Center for Meteorological Environment and Human Health, School of Atmospheric Science, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China; 
    2 Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Nanjing 210009, China; 
    3 Jiangsu Climate Center, Nanjing 210008, China; 
    4 Jiangsu Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Nanjing 210008, China
  • Received:2013-06-09 Revised:2013-10-20 Online:2014-01-31 Published:2014-01-31

摘要: 选取南京地区1961年1月1日至2012年12月31日逐日地面气象观测资料,采用“黄金分割法”计算体感温度,分析南京地区近52年舒适度特征;选取2005年1月1日至2008年12月31日逐日循环系统疾病死亡人数资料和同期气象资料,分析南京市2005—2008年舒适度和体感温度特征及其与循环系统疾病死亡人数的关系。结果表明,1961—2012年南京市热不舒适期、舒适期日数呈现上升趋势,而冷不舒适期日数呈显著减少趋势,变化率为-3.2 d/10a;4月上旬至5月中旬和10月为舒适期;体感温度在20世纪中期之后表现为明显的上升趋势,增加率为0.3℃/10a;2005—2008年舒适度以微冷和舒适为主;死亡高峰日多出现在冷不舒适日,2008年初死亡高峰日持续时间较长,且与天气灾害过程发生时间存在7~9 d的滞后。

关键词:  ,

Abstract: Based on a new algorithm to calculate apparent temperature, a novel criterion to evaluate human comfort levels was devised and applied to calculate climate comfort by using daily routine surface observational data from 1 January 1961 to 31 December 2012. Based on daily mortality from circulatory system disease and Nanjing meteorological data from 1 January 2005 to 31 December 2008, characteristics of comfort levels and apparent temperature during this period were analyzed. Then, the relationship between comfort levels and mortality was analyzed. The hot uncomfortable days show an upward tendency, however cold uncomfortable days show a downward tendency (-3.2 d/10a). Early April to mid-May and October are two comfortable periods in Nanjing. Mean apparent temperature has a rising tendency (0.3℃/10a) after 1995. Main comfort levels are comfort and slightly cold in Nanjing during the period of 2005-2008. Peak days of mortality from circulatory system disease occur in cold uncomfortable days. There was a successive high mortality period in 2008, which has a 7-9 d lag compared with the weather disasters process during this period.

Key words: apparent temperature, golden section, peak days of mortality from circulatory system disease, comfort level

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