气候变化研究进展

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格陵兰冰盖矿业开发存在巨大的气候和生态环境风险

高坛光1,康世昌2   

  1. 1 兰州大学资源环境学院,兰州 730000;
    2 中国科学院、水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所,成都 610213
  • 收稿日期:2026-01-22 修回日期:2026-05-29 出版日期:2026-08-20 发布日期:2026-08-20
  • 通讯作者: 高坛光
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划战略性科技创新合作,北极冻土区温室气体和污染物监测与环境风险评估合作研究

Mining development on the Greenland ice sheet poses huge climate and ecological risks

GAO Tan-Guang1, KANG Shi-Chang2   

  1. 1 College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China;
    2 Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu 610213, China
  • Received:2026-01-22 Revised:2026-05-29 Online:2026-08-20 Published:2026-08-20
  • Contact: Tan-Guang GAO

摘要: 格陵兰冰盖作为北半球最大的冰体,是地球气候系统的重要调节枢纽与淡水储库,目前其边缘蕴藏的关键矿产资源开发对当地生态与全球气候安全构成了严峻威胁。文中基于冰冻圈物理过程,阐释了矿业开发破坏冰盖稳定性的3种物理机制。首先,矿区作业排放的黑碳与粉尘沉降会加剧冰面“变暗效应”,通过降低反照率诱发正反馈消融过程;其次,冰前区的基础设施建设与废石堆载将改变局部应力平衡,增加冰川动力学失稳与崩解的风险;最后,由此加速释放的局部淡水通量将作为气候变化背景下的叠加压力源,共同干扰北大西洋海水的密度分层,进一步增加大西洋经向翻转环流(AMOC)的失稳风险。研究认为,鉴于格陵兰冰盖变化的不可逆性,针对该区域的矿业开发计划均需进行严格的气候和生态环境风险评估,以降低局部资源开采对冰盖稳定性和全球气候系统产生潜在连锁影响的风险。

关键词: 格陵兰冰盖, 矿业开发, 反照率, 冰川动力学, 大西洋经向翻转环流(AMOC)

Abstract: The Greenland Ice Sheet functions as a critical regulatory hub for the global climate system and a massive freshwater reservoir. However, the exploitation of critical raw materials along its margins poses severe threats to both local ecosystems and global climate security. This study elucidates three physical mechanisms through which mining development compromises the integrity of the ice sheet. First, the deposition of black carbon and mineral dust from extraction activities darkens the ice surface, reducing albedo and accelerating ablation through positive feedback loops. Second, the physical loading of infrastructure and waste rock in marginal zones alters the local stress balance, thereby increasing the risk of dynamic instabilities and glacial calving. Third, the locally accelerated freshwater discharge may act as an additional pressure source under the background of climate change, jointly disturbing density stratification in the North Atlantic and further increasing the risk of instability in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). Consequently, considering the irreversibility of Greenland ice sheet changes, mining developments targeting this region must undergo rigorous climate and ecological risk assessments to reduce the risk of potential cascading impacts of local extraction activities on ice-sheet stability and the global climate system.

Key words: Greenland ice sheet, Mining development, Albedo, Glacial dynamics, Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC)

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