Abstract:

In the context of global climate change and frequent meteorological disasters, farmers’ adaptive behaviors have attracted the attention of many scholars. Meanwhile, the efficacy perception of adaptive behaviors is related to farmers’ ability to accurately and effectively cope with the impacts of climate change and meteorological disasters. Based on the survey data from the interviews with cherry growers of 9 villages in Bailuyuan region of Shaanxi Province, this paper uses the theory of planned behavior and path analysis method to identify the influence factors to the efficacy perception of cherry growers’ adaptive behaviors, and then utilizes the ordinal logistic regression model to explore the influence mechanism of cherry growers’ attributes, perception of climate change, perception of meteorological disasters in different growth periods of cherry on the weaker efficacy perception of adaptive behaviors. The results show that attitude towards the behavior, subjective norm and perceived behavioral control of the cherry growers all have significant positive impacts on the efficacy perception of adaptive behaviors, the more positive the individual’s attitude, the greater the pressure from the surrounding, the stronger the ability to implement adaptive behaviors, then the higher the level of efficacy perception of adaptive behaviors. The relatively weaker efficacy perception of adaptive behaviors is mainly affected by the cherry growers’ age, the household agricultural income, the perception of local warming trend in the recent 30 years and the cognition of frost change. Finally, targeted policy suggestions are put forward on the basis of above conclusions.

Key words: Climate change, Meteorological disasters, Efficacy perception of adaptive behaviors, Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB), Ordinal logistic regression