National and provincial population projection databases under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP1-5) v2

doi:10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2024.086

Climate Change Research ›› 2024, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (4): 492-497.doi: 10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2024.086

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National and provincial population projection databases under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP1-5) v2

GUO Huan-Huan¹, JING Cheng¹^,³(), JIANG Tong¹^,²^,⁴, SU Bu-Da¹^,², WANG Yan-Jun¹^,², YANG Yu-Ming¹

Online:2024-07-30 Published:2024-07-08
Contact: JING Cheng E-mail:jingc1992@163.com

Abstract

GUO Huan-Huan, JING Cheng, JIANG Tong, SU Bu-Da, WANG Yan-Jun, YANG Yu-Ming. National and provincial population projection databases under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP1-5) v2[J]. Climate Change Research, 2024, 20(4): 492-497.

Figures/Tables 7

Fig. 1 Comparison of the recorded and the simulated total population under SSP2 in 2011-2023

Fig. 2 Comparison of the recorded and the simulated population by age and gender under SSP2 in 2022

Table 1 The relative error between the simulated and recorded population of 31 provinces under SSP2 in 2022

Fig. 3 Changes of total population for China from 2010 to 2100 under SSP1-5. (a) Version 2, (b) version 1

Fig. 4 Population patterns by age and gender in 2020 and 2050 under SSP1-5 in China

Fig. 5 China’s population at the 31 provinces (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) under SSP1-5 in 2050

Table 2 File information of datasets for population

References 7

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[5]	姜彤, 赵晶, 景丞, 等. IPCC共享社会经济路径下中国和分省人口变化预估[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 2017, 13 (2): 128-137.
	Jiang T, Zhao J, Jing C, et al. National and provincial population projected to 2100 under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways in China[J]. Climate Change Research, 2017, 13 (2): 128-137 (in Chinese)
[6]	Huang J L, Qin D H, Jiang T, et al. Effect of fertility policy changes on the population structure and economy of China: from the perspective of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways[J]. Earth’s Future, 2019, 7 (3): 250-265
[7]	Jing C, Tao H, Jiang T, et al. Population, urbanization and economic scenarios over the Belt and Road region under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30 (1): 68-84 doi: 10.1007/s11442-020-1715-x

National and provincial population projection databases under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP1-5) v2

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