Climate Change Research ›› 2023, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (1): 74-83.doi: 10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2022.136

• Greenhouse Gas Emissions • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Evaluation of China’s provincial carbon quota allocation scheme from the perspective of high-quality development

TAN Xian-Chun1,2,3, NIU Miao-Miao1,3, GU Bai-He1,2(), CHENG Yong-Long1,3, ZHU Kai-Wei1,3   

  1. 1 Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
    2 The Center for Carbon Neutrality Strategy, Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
    3 School of Public Policy and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
  • Received:2022-05-30 Revised:2022-07-20 Online:2023-01-30 Published:2022-10-24
  • Contact: GU Bai-He E-mail:gubaihe@casisd.cn

Abstract:

Carbon quota allocation is the key to carbon emissions control. It is of great significance to explore provincial-level allocation schemes that are more conducive to high-quality development under the national “dual carbon” goal. Based on egalitarianism, historical responsibility, capacity to pay, emission efficiency and feasible allocation criteria, 10 allocation schemes were designed using the comprehensive indicator method; Taking high-quality development as standard, the Malmquist index model was used to evaluate these schemes. The results show that various provinces in China have diversified carbon quotas under different allocation schemes, and most regions obtain the maximum quota according to scheme F of emission efficiency criteria, capacity to pay criteria, historical responsibility criteria and feasibility criteria. From the national perspective, scheme F has the best economic and high-quality development performance, which is the relatively optimal choice. From the regional perspective, each province has different high-quality economic development performance under different allocation schemes. Most regions achieve the optimal development according to scheme G of comprehensive egalitarianism principle, emission efficiency principle and feasibility principle. The selection of emission efficiency indicators is robust to the results of allocation scheme.

Key words: Carbon quota, Provincial distribution, Comprehensive index method, High-quality development

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