气候变化研究进展 ›› 2014, Vol. 10 ›› Issue (1): 7-13.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-1719.2014.01.002

• IPCC第五次评估报告WGI专栏 • 上一篇    下一篇

IPCC气候变化自然科学认知的发展

巢清尘,周波涛,孙 颖,张永香,黄 磊   

  1. 中国气象局国家气候中心
  • 收稿日期:2013-12-05 出版日期:2014-01-31 发布日期:2014-01-31
  • 通讯作者: 巢清尘 E-mail:chaoqc@cma.gov.cn

The Cognition Development of the Climate Change Physical Sciences on IPCC

Chao Qingchen, Zhou Botao, Sun Ying, Zhang Yongxiang, Huang Lei   

  1. National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China
  • Received:2013-12-05 Online:2014-01-31 Published:2014-01-31

摘要: 过去20年来,随着观测手段的改善、气候模式的进步以及分析方法的提升,人类对气候变化事实、原因和未来趋势的认识水平不断深化,进一步确认全球气候系统变暖是毋庸置疑的,人类活动是20世纪中叶以来气候变暖的主要原因,未来气候系统仍将继续变暖。IPCC评估报告极大地促进了气候变化自然科学的进展,并为适应和减缓气候变化奠定了坚实的科学基础。

关键词: IPCC, 自然科学, 认知, 发展

Abstract: In the past two decades, the cognition on the facts, causes and future trends of climate change has been strengthened due to the improvement of observational measures, the enhancement of analysis methods and the development of climate models. It is further confirmed that warming of the climate system is unequivocal, anthropogenic activity is the main cause of global warming since the mid-20th century and further warming will continue in the climate system in future. IPCC assessment reports on climate change have greatly promoted the progress of the physical sciences. They also lay the solid scientific foundations for adapting to and mitigating climate change.

Key words: IPCC, physical sciences, cognition, development

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