关键词: 气候变化感知, 乡村人群, 人群分异, 气候变化趋势, 极端冷暖年, 感知偏差, perception to climate change, rural people, population difference, climate trend, extreme cold/warm years, perception deviation

Abstract: This research investigated the perception deviation and population differences on climate trend as well as extreme cold /warm years through questionnaire survey among rural populations in Dunhua City, Jilin Province. The results indicate that the rural people’s perception on climate trend agrees well with scientific measurements. Higher sensitivity to the transitional year of warming leads to greater deviation on the confirmation in warming years at some time intervals. The perception of climate trend is more accurate than that of extreme cold/warm years. The experience affects rural people’s perception accuracy to climate trend, and the growth experience affects their perception accuracy to extreme cold/warm years. Therefore, the government needs to earmark funds to climate change education. The education should provide the concerned and key people the cases of people’s experience and lessons on how to respond to climate trend and extreme climate year on the grain-growing around the cold and warm transitional year, to improve people’s capacity to adapt to climate change.