气候变化研究进展 ›› 2011, Vol. 7 ›› Issue (2): 143-148.

• 气候变化影响 • 上一篇    下一篇

农业对气候变化的脆弱性

陶生才1,许吟隆2,刘珂3,潘婕3,苟诗薇3   

  1. 1. 中国农业科学院
    2. 中国农业科学院 农业环境与可持续发展研究所
    3.
  • 收稿日期:2010-09-27 修回日期:2010-11-30 出版日期:2011-03-30 发布日期:2011-04-07
  • 通讯作者: 许吟隆 E-mail:xuyl@ami.ac.cn
  • 基金资助:
    973;行业专项;自然科学基金

Research Progress in Agricultural Vulnerability to Climate Change

  • Received:2010-09-27 Revised:2010-11-30 Online:2011-03-30 Published:2011-04-07

摘要: 随着对气候变化研究的不断深入,气候变化脆弱性问题也得到了更多的关注。相对于水资源、森林等其他自然生态系统,农业受气候变化的影响最大,科学地评价其对气候变化的脆弱性,对于制定合理有效的适应对策具有重要意义。从气候变化脆弱性与农业对气候变化脆弱性的定义、研究内容和评价方法等角度综述了研究进展,在此基础上分析了目前该领域存在的问题,包括情景应用、方法和不确定性等方面,并展望了未来脆弱性评价的发展方向。

关键词: 气候变化, 脆弱性, 农业, climate change, vulnerability, agriculture

Abstract: With the deepening of climate change research, more attention has been paid to vulnerability to climate change. Compared with water resources, forests and other natural ecosystems, agriculture is more vulnerable to climate change, thereby scientifically assessing agricultural vulnerability to climate change is of great significance to rationally formulate effective adaptation strategies. Progresses in research of agricultural vulnerability to climate change are reviewed in this paper from aspects of definition, research content, evaluation methodology and so on. Besides, the problems existing in the current research, such as scenario application, methods, and uncertainty, are also analyzed, and meanwhile, the direction for future research is presented.

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