气候变化研究进展 ›› 2005, Vol. 01 ›› Issue (01): 4-09.

• 研究论文 •    下一篇

中国气候与环境演变评估(Ⅰ):中国气候与环境变化及未来趋势

秦大河,丁一汇, 苏纪兰, 任贾文, 王绍武, 伍荣生, 杨修群, 王苏民, 刘时银, 董光荣, 卢琦, 黄镇国, 杜碧兰, 罗勇   

  1. 中国气象局
  • 收稿日期:2005-04-12 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2005-05-31 发布日期:2005-05-31
  • 通讯作者: 秦大河

Assessment of Climate and Environment Changes in China(Ⅰ):Climate and environment change in China and their projection

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  1. 中国气象局
  • Received:2005-04-12 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2005-05-31 Published:2005-05-31

摘要: 近百年来,全球气候正经历着一次以变暖为主要特征的显著变化,全球气候与环境的重大变化对中国的气候与环境演变也产生了重大影响。来自气候、环境、海洋和经济社会科学等领域的百余位专家和学者对中国气候与环境的演变及其对自然生态系统和社会经济部门的影响进行了评估,在此基础上,提出了适应和减缓气候变化的对策。本文主要阐述在全球气候变化背景下中国气候与环境的演变,并对未来气候变化的趋势做出了预测。

关键词: 气候变化, 环境演变, 未来趋势, 中国

Abstract: In recent 100 years, the global climate and environment have greatly changed, with the global warming as its main feature. These changes have exerted significant impacts on the climate and environment changes in China. More than 100 Chinese scientists in areas of climate change, environment, ecology, oceanography, economics and social sciences have assessed the climate and environment changes in China and their impact on natural ecosystem and socioeconomic sectors. On the basis of scientific assessment, response strategy to the adaptation and mitigation of climate change has been put forward. The present paper is the first part of this scientific assessment report , mainly dealing with the climate and environment changes. And the future projections of climate change have been provided.

Key words: climate change, environment evolvement, future trend, China

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