中国水泥行业节能减排措施的协同控制效应评估研究

doi:10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2021.014

气候变化研究进展 ›› 2021, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (4): 400-409.doi: 10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2021.014

所属专题：减污降碳协同增效专栏

• 减污降碳协同增效专栏 • 上一篇下一篇

中国水泥行业节能减排措施的协同控制效应评估研究

何峰¹^,², 刘峥延³, 邢有凯¹^,⁴, 高玉冰¹^,⁵, 毛显强¹()

1 北京师范大学环境学院,北京 100875
2 北京易二零环境股份有限公司,北京 100195
3 中国宏观经济研究院国土开发与地区经济研究所,北京 100038
4 交通运输部规划研究院,交通排放控制监测技术实验室, 北京 100028
5 北京亚太展望环境发展咨询中心,北京 100191

收稿日期:2021-03-08 修回日期:2021-04-20 出版日期:2021-07-30 发布日期:2021-08-11
通讯作者: 毛显强
作者简介:何峰,男,环境保护工程师
基金资助:
能源基金会工业项目“钢铁、水泥行业深度脱碳的协同控制效果评估与路径设计”(G-1809-28536)

Co-control effect evaluation of the energy saving and emission reduction measures in Chinese cement industry

HE Feng¹^,², LIU Zheng-Yan³, XING You-Kai¹^,⁴, GAO Yu-Bing¹^,⁵, MAO Xian-Qiang¹()

1 School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
2 Beijing E20 Environment Co., Ltd, Beijing 100195, China
3 Institute of Spatial Planning and Regional Economy, China Academy of Macroeconomic Research, Beijing 100038, China
4 Transport Planning and Research Institute, Ministry of Transport, Laboratory of Transport Pollution Control and Monitoring Technology, Beijing 100028, China
5 Asia-Pacific Consulting Center for Environment and Development, Beijing 100191, China

Received:2021-03-08 Revised:2021-04-20 Online:2021-07-30 Published:2021-08-11
Contact: MAO Xian-Qiang

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

水泥行业是温室气体与局地污染物协同控制的重点行业。以往该行业的协同控制评估或针对个别企业,或采用自上而下和自下而上模拟模型结合情景分析评估行业协同减排效益,尚缺乏系统评估水泥行业全系列节能减排措施（或技术）协同控制效果的研究。文中首先测算水泥行业24项节能减排措施综合大气污染物协同减排量,再通过协同控制效应坐标系、交叉弹性、单位污染物减排成本等评估指标和方法,对这些措施开展协同控制效果评估。结果表明大多数节能减排措施可协同减排局地大气污染物;协同减排潜力最大的是结构调整措施;能效提升与节能措施的协同减排成本较低,但减排潜力有限。本文强化了水泥行业节能减排措施的协同控制效能特性分析,可为水泥行业开展协同控制路径规划提供参考。

关键词: 水泥行业, 协同控制, 碳减排, 污染减排, 效果评估

Abstract:

Cement industry is a key sector for co-control of greenhouse gases and local pollutants. In the past, research on the industry’s co-control evaluations either was targeted at individual companies, or applied top-down and bottom-up simulation models in combination with scenario analysis to evaluate the industry’s co-control benefits. There is rarely research on systematic evaluation of the cement industry’s full range of energy-saving and emission reduction measures’ co-control effects. In the paper, a new index of Integrated Air Pollutant Co-control Emission Reduction (ICER) of 24 different measures is calculated. Co-control effects coordinate system, co-control cross elasticity, unit pollutant reduction cost and the marginal abatement cost curve are applied to examine the co-control effects for different measures. The results show that most energy-saving and emission reduction measures can synergistically reduce pollution; the greatest potential for emission reduction is from structural adjustment measures; the unit cost of energy efficiency improvement and energy-saving measures is relatively low, but the potential for emission reduction is limited. The analysis of the co-control performance of the energy-saving and emission reduction measures can provide a reference for the industry to carry out co-control path planning.

Key words: Cement industry, Co-control, Carbon emissions reduction, Pollution emissions reduction, Effect evaluation

何峰, 刘峥延, 邢有凯, 高玉冰, 毛显强. 中国水泥行业节能减排措施的协同控制效应评估研究[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 2021, 17(4): 400-409.

HE Feng, LIU Zheng-Yan, XING You-Kai, GAO Yu-Bing, MAO Xian-Qiang. Co-control effect evaluation of the energy saving and emission reduction measures in Chinese cement industry[J]. Climate Change Research, 2021, 17(4): 400-409.

图/表 8

表1 将局地大气污染物和CO2减排折算为综合大气污染物减排当量（ICER）的系数

Table 1 Weight coefficients for converting local air pollutants and CO2 into ICER

表2 水泥行业24项措施市场占比

Table 2 Market shares of the 24 cement industry measures

表3 水泥企业各环节能耗系数及排放因子

Table 3 Energy consumption coefficients and emission factors of various links in cement enterprises

表4 水泥行业24项措施减排系数及成本变化

Table 4 Emission reduction coefficients and cost changes of the 24 cement industry measures

图1 中国水泥行业2025年分类型措施综合大气污染物协同减排量（ICER）潜力估算

Fig. 1 Estimated Chinese cement industry ICER emission reduction potential by type of measures in 2025

图2 水泥行业CO2-LAP协同控制效应坐标系(a)及局部放大图(b)

Fig. 2 Cement industry CO2-LAP co-control effects coordinate system (a) and partially enlarged view (b)

表5 中国水泥行业各节能减排措施协同度（交叉弹性）

Table 5 Co-control degree of the 24 energy saving and emission reduction measures in Chinese cement industry

图3 中国水泥行业节能减排措施ICER单位（边际）减排成本曲线注：图中每个矩形代表一项减排措施,矩形在横坐标上的长度代表该项措施对某种污染物的减排量或减排潜力（单位为亿IAPeq),矩形在纵坐标上的高度代表该项措施的单位污染物减排成本,矩形的面积代表该措施实现减排量（或减排潜力）时的减排成本。

Fig. 3 ICER unit (marginal) abatement cost curve for the energy saving and emission reduction measures in Chinese cement industry

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中国水泥行业节能减排措施的协同控制效应评估研究

Co-control effect evaluation of the energy saving and emission reduction measures in Chinese cement industry

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