气候变化研究进展 ›› 2014, Vol. 10 ›› Issue (3): 185-190.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-1719.2014.03.005

• IPCC第五次评估报告WGII专栏 • 上一篇    下一篇

气候变化与全球海洋:影响、适应和脆弱性评估之解读

蔡榕硕1,2, 齐庆华1,2     

  1. 1 国家海洋局第三海洋研究所,厦门 361005;
     2 国家海洋局海洋大气化学与全球变化重点实验室,厦门 361005
  • 收稿日期:2014-02-21 修回日期:2014-04-17 出版日期:2014-05-30 发布日期:2014-05-30
  • 通讯作者: 蔡榕硕 E-mail:rscai@163.com

Key Points on Impact Assessment of Climate Change on the Ocean and Related Adaptation from the IPCC Working Group II Fifth Assessment Report

Cai Rongshuo1, 2, Qi Qinghua1, 2   

  1. 1 Key Lab of Global Change and Marine-Atmosphere Chemistry, State Oceanic Administration, Xiamen 361005, China; 
    2 Third Institute of Oceanography, State Oceanic Administration, Xiamen 361005, China
  • Received:2014-02-21 Revised:2014-04-17 Online:2014-05-30 Published:2014-05-30
  • Contact: Rong-Shuo CAI E-mail:rscai@163.com

摘要: 本文主要简介IPCC第五次评估报告(AR5)第二工作组(WGII)报告海洋区域与气候变化相关的影响、适应和脆弱性的主要评估结论。本次评估报告首次将全球海洋视为地球上的一个区域,并根据全球海洋生态系统的结构和功能及海洋学特征,进一步将全球海洋(不包括极地海域)划分为7个亚区域。评估结果表明,自20世纪初以来,海洋大部分亚区域的平均海表温度有显著上升,对CO2的吸收使得海洋发生酸化,过去60年来全球海洋的物理和化学性质直至生态发生了明显变化,并呈现出若干与气候变化相关的风险和脆弱性,如海洋生物物种地理分布的迁移,生物多样性和渔业资源丰富度的减少,渔业捕获量随不同区域的变化,以及珊瑚礁生态保护作用的减弱等;同时,评估报告还针对气候变化的影响与风险,提出了有关适应性措施。此外,本文还探讨了气候变化对海洋影响评估存在的不足和难点,以及中国今后需要加强的相关工作。

关键词: 海洋区域, 影响, 气候变化, WGII, AR5

Abstract: The key conclusions on the effects of climate change and the adaptability evaluation from the chapter 30 (The Ocean) in the Fifth Assessment Report by Working Group II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC WGII AR5) were briefly presented in this article. The world’s non-polar ocean as a whole region was considered for the first time in this report, and it was separated into seven major sub-regions based on marine ecosystem structure and functioning as well as key oceanographic features. Assessment results indicated that, the global average sea surface temperatures have increased since the beginning of the 20th century, and uptake of CO2 has decreased ocean pH in all ocean sub-regions, particularly at high latitudes, fundamentally changing the ocean physical and chemical properties, marine ecological systems in the past 60 years and posing a number of key risks to ocean and coastal issues from climate change, such as, distributional shift in marine species, changes to fisheries capture potential with region variations, reduced biodiversity and fisheries abundance and coastal protection by coral reef, etc. Meanwhile, the related adaptive issues and prospects were put forward. In addition, the deficiencies and difficulties in the assessment report were also discussed, as well as outlined, the related research work needed to be further explored in China.

Key words: ocean region, impact, climate change, WGII, AR5

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