气候变化研究进展 ›› 2009, Vol. 5 ›› Issue (05): 260-265.

• 研究论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

以树轮宽度重建秦岭中段分水岭地区1-7月平均气温

刘禹,刘娜,宋慧明,蔡秋芳,包光,王伟平   

  1. 中国科学院地球环境研究所
  • 收稿日期:2009-02-16 修回日期:2009-03-27 出版日期:2009-09-30 发布日期:2009-09-30
  • 通讯作者: 刘禹

Reconstructed Mean Air Temperature from January to July at the Divide Sampling Site in the Mid-Qinling Mountains with Tree-Ring Widths

  • Received:2009-02-16 Revised:2009-03-27 Online:2009-09-30 Published:2009-09-30

摘要: 根据秦岭中段分水岭地区秦岭落叶松树轮宽度指标,建立了该地区1814-2003年的树轮标准化年表。分析表明,该地标准化年表与当年1-7月平均气温显著相关。在此基础上设计转换方程,利用多元回归技术重建了秦岭中段分水岭地区的1-7月平均气温,重建序列的方差解释量为41.2% (F=15.062, p<0.0001),重建序列显示在过去190 a中气温较低的时段主要有1814-1850年和1876-1889年;偏暖期主要有1851-1875年和1890-1933年;而1934-1990年这一时期气温变化幅度较小,气温相对比较稳定;1990年之后升温明显。

关键词: 秦岭中段, 分水岭, 树轮宽度, 温度重建

Abstract: A tree-ring width chronology has been built from Larix chinensis at the divide sampling site in the mid-Qinling Mountains from 1814 to 2003. The calculation results show that standardization (STD) chronology was significantly correlated with the mean air temperature from January to July. The mean January-July temperature at the sampling site was reconstructed by using the multiple regression method, and the explained variance of the function was 41% (F=15.062, p<0.0001). Two cold periods in the past 190 years were found in 1814-1850, and 1876-1889, and two warm periods from 1851-1875, and 1890-1933, respectively. The reconstructed temperature was relatively stable from the early 1930s to 1990, but increased quickly after 1990.

Key words: mid-Qinling Mountains, divide, tree-ring width, air temperature reconstruction

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