气候变化研究进展 ›› 2006, Vol. 02 ›› Issue (00): 46-49.

• Letters • 上一篇    下一篇

Dangerous Level of Climate Change and Building the Adaptive Capacity for Sustainable Development

Lin Erda   

  • 收稿日期:2006-01-24 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2006-08-31 发布日期:2006-08-31

Dangerous Level of Climate Change and Building the Adaptive Capacity for Sustainable Development

  • Received:2006-01-24 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2006-08-31 Published:2006-08-31

关键词: climate change, sustainable development, adaptation, dangerous level

Abstract: The key vulnerability and dangerous level of climate change are hot issues in current international climate change research. This paper briefly outlines the basic concept of dangerous climate change and its uncertainties to determine quantitatively the dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. Simulation results suggest that a 2.2-3.9℃warming in next 50-80 years with adaptation will not threaten wheat and maize production severely. To mitigate or avoid dangerous climate change, the strategy of adaptation is suggested for regional sustainable development in China.

Key words: climate change, sustainable development, adaptation, dangerous level

京ICP备11008704号-4
版权所有 © 《气候变化研究进展》编辑部
地址:北京市海淀区中关村南大街46号 邮编:100081 电话/传真:(010)58995171 E-mail:accr@cma.gov.cn
本系统由北京玛格泰克科技发展有限公司设计开发 技术支持:support@magtech.com.cn