适应与绿色复苏：应对新冠疫情和气候复合风险的协同

doi:10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2022.037

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

作为全球性危机，新冠疫情和气候危机在影响范围、效果、原因等方面的相似之处可能使两种危机的效果叠加，而二者的不同之处又可能导致应对政策的相互干扰，带来更加严峻的复合风险。文中全面分析了全球面临的新冠疫情和气候危机的复合风险，识别了新冠疫情对全球气候变化适应进程的影响，以及适应在各国疫后绿色复苏计划中的地位。研究表明，目前全球的绿色复苏中较少考虑适应，而绿色复苏为同时恢复经济和增强气候恢复力提供了机会，如果能在绿色复苏中考虑变革性适应，将显著提升社会经济系统对气候变化等冲击的抵御能力与恢复力，实现疫情后更持续和更有韧性的经济发展。

关键词: COVID-19, 气候变化, 适应, 绿色复苏, 复合风险

Abstract:

As global crises, the similarities in the scope, effects and causes of COVID-19 and the climate crisis may cause the effects of the two crises to overlap, while the differences between the two may lead to mutual interference in response policies, leading to more severe compounding risks. This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the compounded risks of COVID-19 and climate crisis facing the world, identifying the impacts of COVID-19 on the global climate change adaptation process and the place of adaptation in countries’ post-epidemic green recovery plans. The study shows that adaptation is currently less considered in the global green recovery, which offers opportunities to simultaneously restore the economy and enhance climate resilience. If transformative adaptation can be considered in green recovery, it will greatly enhance the resilience and capacity of socio-economic systems to withstand shocks such as climate change, and achieve more sustainable and resilient economic development in the aftermath of the epidemic.

Key words: COVID-19, Climate change, Adaptation, Green recovery, Compound risk

张熹, 陈敏鹏. 适应与绿色复苏：应对新冠疫情和气候复合风险的协同[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 2022, 18(6): 720-730.

ZHANG Xi, CHEN Min-Peng. Adaptation and green recovery: synergistic responses to the COVID-19 pandemic and climate compounding risks[J]. Climate Change Research, 2022, 18(6): 720-730.

图/表 3

图1 气候变化与COVID-19的异同点

Fig. 1 Similarities and differences between climate change and COVID-19

表1 主要经济体的绿色复苏政策

Table 1 Green recovery policies in major economies

图2 适应与变革性适应[68]

Fig. 2 Adaptation versus transformative adaptation to climate change [68]

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