气候变化研究进展 ›› 2019, Vol. 15 ›› Issue (4): 427-435.doi: 10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2018.190

• 温室气体排放 • 上一篇    下一篇

碳市场、行业竞争力与碳泄漏:以钢铁行业为例

林文斌,顾阿伦(),刘滨,王兆新,周玲玲   

  1. 清华大学能源环境经济研究所,北京 100084
  • 收稿日期:2018-12-20 修回日期:2019-04-26 出版日期:2019-07-30 发布日期:2019-07-30
  • 通讯作者: 顾阿伦 E-mail:gal@tsinghua.edu.cn
  • 作者简介:林文斌,男,博士
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金(71573145);美国环保协会项目东北亚碳市场链接研究

Carbon market, sector competitiveness and carbon leakage: steel sector case

Wen-Bin LIN,A-Lun GU(),Bin LIU,Zhao-Xin WANG,Ling-Ling ZHOU   

  1. Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
  • Received:2018-12-20 Revised:2019-04-26 Online:2019-07-30 Published:2019-07-30
  • Contact: A-Lun GU E-mail:gal@tsinghua.edu.cn

摘要:

全国碳市场的建设已启动。钢铁行业是被纳入碳市场的主要行业之一,碳市场政策势必对其竞争力带来一定的影响。文中通过构建局部均衡模型,从价格、产量、贸易和碳泄漏等方面定量研究分析碳市场对我国钢铁行业竞争力的影响,并对影响模型结果的关键参数做敏感性分析,包括减排成本曲线、配额分配方式和贸易弹性。研究结果表明,碳市场对于钢铁行业的竞争力影响不太大,但是需要高度关注碳泄漏问题。

关键词: 碳市场, 钢铁行业, 竞争力, 配额分配方式, 贸易弹性, 碳泄漏

Abstract:

In December 2017, China officially announced the launch of the national carbon market, which will provide institutional guarantees for China’s carbon emissions peaking as early as possible and coordinating environmental issues. The industries covered by the national carbon market include energy intensive sectors such as electricity, steel, cement, chemicals, paper, and non-ferrous metals. The carbon market policy is bound to have certain impacts on their competitiveness. By constructing a partial equilibrium model, this paper quantitatively analyzes the impact of carbon market on the competitiveness of China’s steel industry from the aspects of price, output, trade and carbon leakage, and makes sensitivity analysis on key parameters affecting the model results, including emission reduction cost curve, quota allocation method and trade elasticity. The research results show that the carbon market has not much impact on the competitiveness of the steel industry, but more attention should be paid to the carbon leakage issue.

Key words: Carbon market, Steel sector, Sector competitiveness, Quota allocation method, Trade elasticity, Carbon leakage

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